Monday, March 30, 2009

NCAA Tournament Score Predictions: Final Four

The following projected results for the Final Four round of the 2009 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament uses score predictions that are automated based on average performances for each team. Relative adjustments are made for the difference between schedule strength and current opponent strength (per the RogersPoll.com method).

This method proved to be quite successful in predicting bowl games this past season. This is the first time I have attempted to apply it to the college basketball domain.


Michigan State over Connecticut, 72-67



North Carolina over Villanova, 77-76