Wednesday, March 25, 2009

NCAA Tournament Score Predictions: Sweet Sixteen

The following projected results for the Sweet Sixteen round of the 2009 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament uses score predictions that are automated based on average performances for each team. Relative adjustments are made for the difference between schedule strength and current opponent strength (per the RogersPoll.com method).

This method proved to be quite successful in predicting bowl games this past season. This is the first time I have attempted to apply it to the college basketball domain.


Pittsburgh over Xavier, 75-64



Duke over Villanova, 79-66



North Carolina over Gonzaga, 92-62



Syracuse over Oklahoma, 77-72



Louisville over Arizona, 73-66



Michigan State over Kansas, 70-69



Connecticut over Purdue, 68-67



Missouri over Memphis, 72-68