Saturday, March 21, 2009

NCAA Tournament Score Predictions: Second Round

The following projected results for the second round of the 2009 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament uses score predictions that are automated based on average performances for each team. Relative adjustments are made for the difference between schedule strength and current opponent strength (per the RogersPoll.com method).

This method proved to be quite successful in predicting bowl games this past season. This is the first time I have attempted to apply it to the college basketball domain.


Villanova over UCLA, 74-67



Duke over Texas, 78-64



North Carolina over LSU, 87-66



Gonzaga over Western Kentucky, 77-63



Syracuse over Arizona State, 74-67



Michigan over Oklahoma, 70-69



Connecticut over Texas A&M, 75-65



Purdue over Washington, 70-68



Maryland over Memphis, 74-63



Oklahoma State over Pittsburgh, 78-71



Wisconsin over Xavier, 68-61



Louisville over Siena, 85-59



Arizona over Cleveland State, 84-54



Kansas over Dayton, 82-57



Michigan State over USC, 69-64



Marquette over Missouri, 74-73